{"id":561,"date":"2015-10-13T13:45:41","date_gmt":"2015-10-13T20:45:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/?page_id=561"},"modified":"2015-10-13T13:46:39","modified_gmt":"2015-10-13T20:46:39","slug":"elections-in-2010s","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/?page_id=561","title":{"rendered":"Elections in 2010s"},"content":{"rendered":"<ol>\n<li><strong>November 2, 2010 General Election<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<div id=\"element13\">\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nigelguest.com\/bcatemp.org.nigelguest.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/NancySkinner_rooky_of_the_year.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-562 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/nigelguest.com\/bcatemp.org.nigelguest.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/NancySkinner_rooky_of_the_year.jpg\" alt=\"NancySkinner_rooky_of_the_year\" width=\"200\" height=\"267\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Nancy Skinner, elected in 2008, joined the California Assembly, and with her long record of work on behalf of the environment, became Chair of the Natural Resources Committee.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">She was no ordinary freshman, part of Assembly leadership from the beginning of her term, introducing legislation on behalf of conservation and alternative energy.\u00a0 Also named Rookie of the Year.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Easily re-elected in 2010, she now becomes Chair of\u00a0 the more powerful Assembly Rules Committee and part of the Assembly Speaker&#8217;s official leadership team.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"element16\">\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Back at the Berkeley City Council relations between the<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Council majority, led by Mayor Tom Bates, usually six or seven votes strong, had completely broken down with the minority of two, Kriss Worthington and his ally Jesse Arreguin.\u00a0 The main issue once again was land use, especially a much disputed Downtown Plan.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The Council majority adopted a Downtown Plan which the minority felt called for excessive density and height, lacking provisions for affordable housing, while really serving developers.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nigelguest.com\/bcatemp.org.nigelguest.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Kriss_Worthington.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-563 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/nigelguest.com\/bcatemp.org.nigelguest.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Kriss_Worthington-198x300.jpg\" alt=\"Kriss_Worthington\" width=\"198\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Kriss_Worthington-198x300.jpg 198w, https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Kriss_Worthington.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 198px) 100vw, 198px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Worthington and Arreguin backed a successful referendum which gathered enough signatures to block the Mayor&#8217;s Downtown Plan, causing it to be repealed.\u00a0 (A new allegation was harassment of referendum petition circulators by Council majority supporters.)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">This was the second successful referendum by Council majority opponents, after repulsing pro-developer amendments to the Landmarks Preservation Ordinance (Measure LL) in November 2008.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">In 2010 the Council majority reacted by attempting to defeat Kriss Worthington in District 7, which covers much of the south campus area, (the main event), and Jesse Arreguin in District 4, downtown and central Berkeley.\u00a0 Kriss and Jesse worked as a team, sharing the same campaign office.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Kriss was first elected in 1996, a 14-year progressive Council veteran, who spent his initial six years battling Mayor Shirley Dean.\u00a0 Kriss was a strong supporter of Tom Bates in 2002, when Tom defeated Dean in a classic progressive vs. conservative showdown.\u00a0 Kriss and Tom worked closely together for a period that failed to last.\u00a0 By 2006, neither endorsed the other for re-election, part of a widening gap over land use issues.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Jesse Arreguin, youngest Councilmember, had been elected in 2008 to fill out the last two years of the late Donna Spring&#8217;s term.\u00a0 Like Donna, Jesse became part of the 2-vote Council minority.\u00a0 He was now running for re-election to a full 4-year term.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nigelguest.com\/bcatemp.org.nigelguest.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Jesse_Arreguin.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-564 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/nigelguest.com\/bcatemp.org.nigelguest.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Jesse_Arreguin.jpg\" alt=\"Jesse_Arreguin\" width=\"200\" height=\"293\" \/><\/a>Mayor Bates and five other Councilmembers generally loyal to Tom endorsed Worthington&#8217;s leading opponent George Beier, who was making his third try at beating Kriss.\u00a0 Beier&#8217;s main advantage was personal wealth, allowing him to greatly outspend Worthington.\u00a0 Beier was also endorsed by former Mayor Shirley Dean, a long-time enemy of Worthington .<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">I note that Max Anderson, a City Councilmember who votes with both sides, depending on the issue, supported Kriss Worthington and Jesse Arreguin.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">On the night of November 2, it became clear that Kriss Worthington would defeat Beier by a greater margin than four years earlier, over 600 votes.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Ranked choice voting, also known as instant run-offs, was being used for the first time.\u00a0 Voters could cast ballots for their second and third (or more) choices, which would all be counted, the person in last place dropped, until a candidate won with over 50% of the vote.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">That might have mattered, as Worthington hovered so near a majority, perhaps eventually reaching it without need for second choice votes from ballots cast for write-ins.\u00a0 Yet it was that second round, 8 more votes for Kriss, which had been wasted upon write-ins as a first choice, officially putting him over the top, sparing Worthington any risk of a run-off against Beier.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">It was important that run-off elections were eliminated in Berkeley, real progress, because lower, more conservative turnout in run-offs always made them less democratic.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Jesse Arreguin won an even more convincing victory, a first ballot majority exceeding 1,000 votes, despite also being outspent by his leading opponent.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Mayor Tom Bates lost in both of these district Council races, but passed Downtown Plan Measure R, primarily an advisory measure to the Council. &#8220;R&#8221; backed the Mayor&#8217;s ideas for an environmentally friendly pattern of development, but contained provisions which caused Worthington and Arreguin to oppose it.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Measure R won with an overwhelming 64% of the vote, and allies of Mayor Bates were also easily re-elected in<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">two Council districts, victory for all incumbents.\u00a0 Both<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">the Council majority and minority could feel vindicated by this mixture of wins and losses.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Sierra Club endorsements seemed pivotal, in a city like Berkeley which is so environmentally friendly.\u00a0 Kriss Worthington, Jesse Arreguin, and Measure R all prominently displayed their Sierra Club backing.\u00a0 This was a bit odd for Yes on &#8220;R&#8221; mailings funded by developers.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Yet to be determined is whether the two Council factions, which used to be allied, can work together on a mutually acceptable Downtown Plan.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Both sides label themselves as &#8220;progressive&#8221;, although Worthington and Arreguin insist they are the &#8220;real progressives&#8221;.\u00a0 Opponents call them NIMBYs, a pejorative term for people whose view of development is Not In My Back Yard.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Meanwhile little remains of the old conservative coalition that always backed Shirley Dean in her first four races for Mayor, two of those successful.\u00a0 Dean&#8217;s contradictory, clumsy, and unsuccessful efforts at appealing to the Worthington\/Arreguin constituency ended up with Mayor Bates inheriting most of her former supporters by default. \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><strong>2. \u00a0June 2012 Election<\/strong><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>California State Senate and the Sandre Swanson Problem.<\/strong><\/span><\/div>\n<div>\n<div id=\"element4\">\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Since 1970 there has been an informal Berkeley-Oakland progressive alliance\/coalition first centered upon the two offices won that year, Congress and the Berkeley\/Oakland Assembly District, plus organizational and individual supporters.\u00a0 (Detractors called it &#8220;the Dellums Machine&#8221;).\u00a0 In reality neither Congressman Dellums nor anyone else controlled how people behaved in this Coalition.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Initial electoral goals were obvious: defeating Republicans and conservative Democrats, picking up additional offices over the years.\u00a0 That was followed by general unity on behalf of a progressive agenda, plus making new allies beyond Berkeley and Oakland.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">For 20 years (1976-1996) Assemblyman Tom Bates was one coalition pillar, along with Congressman Dellums, who served from 1971 until resigning in 1997.\u00a0 His logical\u00a0 protege and successor, State Senator Barbara Lee, won and replaced Dellums.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Berkeley Citizens Action (BCA) and the people it elected, especially Loni Hancock, winning as Councilmember in 1971 and 1975, later Mayor in 1986 and 1990, were a key part of this coalition for decades on the Berkeley side.\u00a0 The marriage of Loni Hancock and Tom Bates was an event that went beyond coalition politics.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Term limits, a conservative state initiative, passed, and had a severe effect upon members of the California State Assembly and State Senate.\u00a0 Tom Bates was termed out, followed for six years by his chief of staff, Dion Aroner.\u00a0 (1996-2002).\u00a0 After she was termed out, Loni Hancock served in the Assembly, 2002-2008.\u00a0 Loni, termed out for the Assembly, was then elected to the State Senate in 2008, and her re-election in 2012 was considered routine, after which she would be termed out yet again.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Sandre Swanson was a &#8220;lifer&#8221; for 30 years in the Ron Dellums\/Barbara Lee Congressional office, rising to District Director and Chief of Staff.\u00a0 After being defeated for elective office more than once,\u00a0 he finally won the Assembly district south of Berkeley in 2006.\u00a0 Sandre, termed out in 2012, did the unthinkable: declaring his candidacy against Loni Hancock for her State Senate seat.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Among Loni supporters in Berkeley, this suggested that Sandre Swanson had lost his mind.\u00a0 One essential element of coalition politics was for progressives not to run against each other, something Sandre ought to have learned long ago.\u00a0 We were disgusted with him.\u00a0 (No incumbent within the coalition had ever been challenged by another coalition person until Sandre&#8217;s candidacy.)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Both locally and among California Democratic Party leaders, it became a priority to achieve Swanson&#8217;s withdrawal.\u00a0 Democrats were successfully aiming at vulnerable Republicans in the Legislature, and did not want any money wasted on an avoidable fight between Loni and Swanson.\u00a0 (Another idiotic state initiative had abolished party primaries, so this wasteful race would be conducted in both June and November, making things even worse.)\u00a0 And Loni was nearly certain to win, with rock solid Democratic Party support plus personal popularity, one more reason for Swanson to quit.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">So negotiations were conducted over what ransom Sandre Swanson wanted to receive in exchange for his withdrawal.\u00a0 Turned out that Swanson settled for Loni&#8217;s endorsement in 2016, when he could run for an open State Senate seat.\u00a0 That deal became public, Swanson dropped out, and Loni was easily re-elected.\u00a0 Sandre Swanson ended up with a job as Deputy Mayor of Oakland, appointed by Mayor Jean Quan.\u00a0 So he&#8217;s not unemployed while waiting for 2016.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The only &#8220;loser&#8221; was Loni&#8217;s successor in the Assembly, Nancy Skinner, her obvious successor for the State Senate as well.\u00a0 Nancy will be termed out in 2014 after her 2012 re-election.\u00a0 Even without an endorsement from Loni she expected and deserved, Nancy Skinner may run for the State Senate in 2016 against Sandre Swanson and others.\u00a0 (This happened previously for State Senate as an open seat, two coalition people splitting the progressive vote, and thus electing Don Perata, the most conservative candidate.)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">A term limits revision has passed, allowing newly elected members of the California Legislature to spend more time in either the Assembly or State Senate.\u00a0 This reduced threat of being termed out might eliminate the new Assembly members replacing both Sandre Swanson and Nancy Skinner from running for the State Senate in 2016.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">It should be noted that against Loni, many supporters of the Berkeley City Council minority would likely have embraced Sandre Swanson.\u00a0 They stand outside the traditional coalition, opposing not just Mayor Tom Bates and his council allies, but also rejecting both Loni Hancock and Nancy Skinner for their connections to the Mayor.\u00a0 What I still consider to be a civil war was fought on many fronts in November 2012.<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><strong>3.\u00a0November 6, 2012 General Election<\/strong><\/div>\n<div>\n<div id=\"element3\">\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size18 Helvetica18\" style=\"color: #b91806;\"><b>Races for Mayor, City Council,\u00a0<\/b><\/span><span class=\"size18 Helvetica18\" style=\"color: #b91806;\"><b>and Contested Ballot Measures<\/b><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"element4\">\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The Berkeley City Council Majority and Minority clashed once again, each side scoring\u00a0 victories and absorbing defeats.\u00a0 There were no fundamental changes, with the Council Majority, led by Major Tom Bates, still in control.\u00a0 Small efforts at reconciliation between these former progressive allies failed once again.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>MAYOR\u00a0<\/u><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">When Mayor Tom Bates, having already served for 10 years, announced his candidacy for another 4-year term, it first appeared he would not have any serious opponents.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Then Councilmember Kriss Worthington, leader of the Council minority, entered the race, opposing the Mayor, his Council allies, and two Council majority ballot measures.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Jacquelyn McCormick, active in the Claremont Elmwood Neighborhood Association, was another relevant candidate, whose extensive critique of Mayor Bates differed little from that put forward by Kriss.\u00a0 They both charged Tom with having sold out to developers on land use issues.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">With ranked choice voting, (instant run-off), applied in the Mayor&#8217;s race, Worthington and McCormick were not vote splitters.\u00a0 If Bates failed to receive a majority on the first ballot, second and third choice selections could, in theory, produce a winner among his opponents.\u00a0 (This happened in Oakland, where candidates opposing Don Perata for Mayor, strongly urged supporters to use their remaining choices for others who were part of an &#8220;Anyone But Perata&#8221; group.\u00a0 The result was Jean Quan elected Mayor, despite Perata being ahead, with less than a majority, on the first ballot.\u00a0 The response from Perata allies was a failed attempt to repeal Oakland&#8217;s ranked choice voting.)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">In Berkeley campaign literature, McCormick and Worthington declined to mutually endorse each other as second choices, but an election day Berkeley Citizens Action (BCA) door hanger had Kriss Worthington, followed by McCormick, ranked first and second.\u00a0 BCA, long a supporter of Tom Bates, Loni Hancock (a BCA founder), and Nancy Skinner, became the Council minority&#8217;s organization in 2012 without a fight, after many years of being nearly comatose.\u00a0 In 2012 BCA refused to support Loni and Nancy because of their connections to Tom, as reflected in many pro-Council majority endorsements from both of them.\u00a0 The Council minority had a Community Campaign Office, with literature and activity supporting all opponents of the Council majority.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The main event at every level was still land use.\u00a0 Berkeley&#8217;s infill development, also known as &#8220;smart growth&#8221;, retained support from some environmental groups such as the Sierra Club, which viewed this as a desirable alternative to urban sprawl into pristine areas.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Large new buildings, retail at street level, residential for the next several stories, were being constructed in commercial zones under Mayor Bates at a more rapid pace than previously, popping up everywhere.\u00a0 There were also a series of office buildings, two of them named for Berkeley heroes in environmental protection and disability rights.\u00a0 Several of these structures featured advanced conservation measures to make them &#8220;green&#8221;.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">It seemed that city planning staff and the Council majority, plus its appointees, approved nearly anything, despite strong neighborhood opposition that many such developments were massively intrusive upon nearby residential areas with adverse impacts such as traffic increases.\u00a0 Opponents also claimed lip service was being given to affordable housing.\u00a0 The Council minority generally voted with\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>opponents<\/u><\/span><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0of such development, an ever-growing source of new converts to their side.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The Sierra Club had already endorsed Mayor Bates for re-election before Kriss Worthington became a candidate against him.\u00a0 Another Sierra Club endorsement went to District 5&#8217;s Laurie Capitelli, a strong Bates ally with a serious challenger.\u00a0 The Green Party, having virtually no influence compared to the Sierra Club, supported all Council minority candidates.\u00a0 Official Democratic Party endorsements were reserved for the Council majority, whose base of operations was, among other things, the Berkeley Obama for President Office.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The irony of Berkeley Citizens Action rejecting Bates, Hancock, and Skinner was mirrored by a similar reversal at the Berkeley Democratic Club (BDC).\u00a0 BDC was for decades the base of moderate to conservative establishment Democrats, representing the hills, who opposed BCA candidates and measures, such as rent control.\u00a0 It had always supported Shirley Dean, helping elect her to the Council in 1975 and 1979, then backing Dean for Mayor in 1982 (a loss), her district elections return to the Council (1986, 1990), then her two victories for Mayor (1994 &amp; 1998); finally the last traditional showdown of\u00a0 progressives vs. the conservative coalition, BDC endorsing Dean for a third term as Mayor in 2002, when Tom Bates defeated her.\u00a0 That is Eight BDC endorsements for Dean.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Established patterns were were about to change dramatically.\u00a0 BDC had already endorsed Tom Bates many times for the Assembly, where he was always the Democratic Party candidate.\u00a0 In 2006 opponents of Mayor Bates on land use issues formed a new, short lived organization, which nominated a weak candidate who ran against Tom to his left.\u00a0 That year both the Berkeley Democratic Club and Berkeley Citizens Action endorsed Tom for re-election, a unique outcome not to be repeated.\u00a0 Bates was easily re-elected Mayor for a 2-year term in 2006, so that future mayorality elections would subsequently take place concurrent with Presidential elections and their greater turnout.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">More than any other single factor, I believe it was Shirley Dean&#8217;s erratic behavior, when she tried running for Mayor to the left and right of Tom Bates in 2008, that altered perceptions at the Berkeley Democratic Club.\u00a0 I find no record of the BDC endorsing anyone for Mayor in that election, which would have been the first time Dean failed to receive their support.\u00a0 And she lost badly to Tom Bates, worse than in 2002, also losing much of her former constituency.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Concurrently, supporters of the Council minority successfully prevented Berkeley Citizens Action from endorsing Tom Bates for re-election in 2008, the first time that had ever happened.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">By November 2012 re-allignment was complete, and polarization between former allies from 2002 at maximum.\u00a0 The Council minority controlled BCA, while BDC supported all Council majority candidates and ballot measure positions.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Results:\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Tom Bates \u00a0 \u00a0 28,635 (54%)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Kriss Worthington \u00a0 11,507 (22%)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Jacquelyn McCormick \u00a0 6,011 (11%)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">(minor candidates excluded)<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Mayor Bates won re-election on the first ballot with an absolute majority, so ranked choice voting played no part.\u00a0 Tom&#8217;s percentage of the vote was little changed from his 55% in defeating Dean a decade earlier.\u00a0 A detailed precinct analysis, which I did not perform, would show that Kriss Worthington made inroads among voters in precincts where Tom Bates used to run strongest, before there was a Council majority and minority.\u00a0 But Tom also picked up an equivalent percentage of support from elsewhere, while maintaining much of his original base.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>CITY COUNCIL<\/u><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Both the Council majority and minority attempted to defeat opponents in several districts. They failed, with repercussions that are uncertain.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">In the most contested race, a District 5 a re-match, Laurie Capitelli, a realtor, who always votes with Tom Bates and the Council majority, again defeated Sophie Hahn, this time by a 700 vote margin.\u00a0 District 5 earlier belonged to Shirley Dean, and dominated by the hills,<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">it&#8217;s record of voting for the more conservative candidate remained unblemished.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The Council minority&#8217;s lack of viable organization was further displayed by having no strong opponent to Darryl Moore in District 6, covering west and southwest Berkeley.\u00a0 Moore, another Council majority loyalist, won with nearly 59% of the vote against two challengers.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Most interesting to me was District 3, home to Councilmember Max Anderson, whose independence was unique.\u00a0 Normally part of the Council majority, Anderson would also vote with the minority, depending upon each specific issue.\u00a0 He had endorsed Kriss Worthington for re-election in 2010, when every other member of the Council majority supported one or more rival candidates defeated by Kriss.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">In November 2012 Max Anderson was targeted for elimination by the Council majority, due to his crime of being independent.\u00a0 Anderson&#8217;s opponent, Dmitri Belser, was endorsed by Mayor Bates, Councilmembers Capitelli, Wozniak, and Wengraf, plus the Berkeley Democratic Club.\u00a0 Two other members of the Council majority may have remained neutral.\u00a0 It appeared to me that Belser&#8217;s essential argument for votes was greater loyalty to the Council majority than Max Anderson&#8217;s record.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Anderson was still walking a tightrope between the two sides, endorsing both Tom Bates and Kriss Worthington for Mayor.\u00a0 But it was the Council minority that embraced Anderson and distributed BCA doorhangers for a ticket of Worthington and Anderson.\u00a0 District 3 was not fertile ground for the Council Majority in 2012, it having repeatedly elected BCA&#8217;s anchor of the left, Maudelle Shirek.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Max Anderson defeated Belser, totaling over 60%, a margin of victory exceeding 1,000 votes.\u00a0 What remains to be seen is whether Max Anderson responds to his Council majority opponents by openly joining the Council minority, which would then increase to three votes.\u00a0 (Councilmembers have switched sides in the past for lesser reasons.)\u00a0 Time will tell.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">It can once again safely be said that no district election incumbents lost, this time in 2012.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>BALLOT MEASURES<\/u><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The Council placed three measures on the November ballot that generated the most contoversy.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>MEASURE S<\/u><\/span><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>\u00a0(Making Sitting On the Sidewalk a Crime)<\/u><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Many Berkeley merchants, especially those downtown and on Telegraph Avenue, believe that street people (homeless people) sitting\/lying\/panhandling on the sidewalks discourage customers from shopping in Berkeley.\u00a0 This was nothing new.\u00a0 A comparable Council measure, passed by the voters in November 1994, and most associated with Shirley Dean, had banned panhandling.\u00a0 Endorsers then included Tom Bates and Loni Hancock. It never went into effect after court challenges.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Now the Council majority, supported by Mayor Tom Bates and State Senator Loni Hancock, tried a new measure to discourage street people from sitting and lying on sidewalks by making this behavior criminal.\u00a0 It was supposed to promote treatment for violators.\u00a0 (Measure S may have been what caused Kriss Worthington to run for Mayor, opposing it).<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The &#8220;Yes on S&#8221; campaign produced several mailers, greatly outspending opponents.\u00a0 But unlike the 1994 result, &#8220;S&#8221; was defeated.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>MEASURE T (West Berkeley Development)<\/u><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Measure T renewed a decades-long debate over how\/whether West Berkeley should be intensely developed, rather than left under current land use plans.\u00a0 This was the Council Majority&#8217;s opening salvo into changing the existing West Berkeley Plan and Zoning Ordinance in favor of far greater new development than presently allowed.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">It applied to a limited number of sites, whose owners financed a campaign of &#8220;Yes&#8221; mailers.\u00a0 Opponents, existing West Berkeley residents, including artists, and small manufacturers\/business people, could not compete by spending money.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Yet Measure T was beaten by a small margin, rejection of Council Majority plans for new West Berkeley development.\u00a0 It was perhaps the most significicant defeat the Council majority suffered in November 2012.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<div id=\"element6\"><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>MEASURE R (Reapportionment)<\/u><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div id=\"element7\">\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">District elections came to Berkeley in a successful June 1986 Initiative Charter Amendment, Measure C.\u00a0 The initiative locked in eight council districts, whole lines were explicitly drawn as part of Measure C.\u00a0 After a new census every ten years, district lines could only be changed to equalize population, preserving the basic formation of each district.\u00a0 That had been the status quo ever since.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Back in 1986 Measure C included punishment for U.C. student support of BCA candidates and progressive ballot measures over the prior decade.\u00a0 This was done by gerrymandering the areas where students lived into about\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\"><u>five separate districts.<\/u><\/span><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0\u00a0 The anti-student gerrymander was so obvious that Measure C lost heavily in the campus community.\u00a0 But the Academic Calendar, recently changed from quarters to semesters, meant that most students were gone by election day in June 1986.\u00a0 Had there been a normal student vote, district elections would certainly have lost.\u00a0 Instead Measure C managed to pass, due to strong anti-BCA sentiment in the hills, a backlash against BCA &#8220;at large&#8221; victories in November 1982 and November 1984.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Thus divided by Measure C&#8217;s gerrymander, it had proven impossible to elect a student to the City Council in either of the two districts where it was tried, most recently in District 8.\u00a0 Councilmembers from District 7, which had the largest student constituency, such as Carla Woodworth and now Kriss Worthington, tried their best to represent students, Kriss appointing more students to boards and commissions than anyone else, perhaps more than all members of the Council majority put together.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">After the 2010 census there were student demands for a City Council district of their own.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">The Council seemed receptive, deferring reapportionment and placing Measure R on the ballot as a Charter Amendment.\u00a0 Councilmembers did not wish to appear anti-student.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Measure R gutted all of the eight district lines established by Measure C back in June 1986.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Instead the City Council, under Measure R, would have virtually unlimited power to draw new district lines of their choice, by adoption of an ordinance.\u00a0 Although Measure R never mentioned students, it had the benefit of a presumption that a student district would be created.\u00a0 The City Council majority strongly supported &#8220;R&#8221;, while the 2-member Council minority was essentially silent, and\/or nominally in favor.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Measure R&#8217;s opponents argued that it provided the Council with new, dangerous powers over reapportionment that the majority would use for its own political purposes to create future gerrymanders.\u00a0 The anti-R grouping included original backers of Measure C from 1986, former Mayor Shirley Dean, and supporters of the Council minority, likely targets of any gerrymander.\u00a0 BCA doorhangers slated No On &#8220;R&#8221; &#8220;S&#8221; &amp; &#8220;T&#8221;.\u00a0 But Measure R appeared on the ballot as a good-government measure, passing easily.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span class=\"size14 Helvetica14\">Depending upon districts yet to be adopted by the City Council, Measure R may prove to be a game changer in 2014, when both members of the Council minority, Kriss Worthington and Jesse Arreguin will be up for re-election in these new districts.\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>November 2, 2010 General Election Nancy Skinner, elected in 2008, joined the California Assembly, and with her long record of work on behalf of the environment, became Chair of the Natural Resources Committee. She was no ordinary freshman, part of &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/?page_id=561\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Elections in 2010s<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":370,"menu_order":6,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-561","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=561"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/561\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":565,"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/561\/revisions\/565"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/berkeleycitizensaction.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}